One of the lessons from
yesterday's post was my fiddling tale of... editorial discretion at
The Monkey Cage. Steve Scalise, the electrical current 3rd ranking Republican inward the House said that he
wouldn't challenge Kevin McCarthy
if McCarthy runs. So, McCarthy runs, too Scalise becomes...
I instruct to type it...
"The novel Number 2."*
Right? Well, non too thence fast. When Boehner stepped down, McCarthy idea he had the votes, too it looked that way, but the Freedom Caucus wouldn't bring him. We injure upwards alongside Paul Ryan because they
did accept
him. So, volition the Freedom Caucus
now find McCarthy acceptable? I'm non sold on that. Scalise said that he wouldn't run against McCarthy, but if McCarthy backs out, Scalise is gratuitous to run. The Freedom Caucus could fifty-fifty need Mark Meadows or no one. I wouldn't
entirely put it yesteryear them.
For what it's worth,
here's the PredictIt betting on the side yesteryear side Speaker. They receive got Pelosi too Hoyer combined at 61 cents on the dollar, alongside McCarthy every bit the most probable Republican. This simply strikes me every bit odd. McCarthy had to dorsum out when Boehner got sacked because the Freedom Caucus wouldn't back upwards him, too I'm non clear why they volition back upwards him now. Have they beaten him into submission? Has the Freedom Caucus gotten to a greater extent than realistic? Or... is at that topographic point to a greater extent than of a struggle coming?
This could instruct ugly.
Then again, if the GOP loses the majority, it doesn't actually matter. Minority Leader is a rather less powerful position, too thence the stakes inward the struggle decease manner down. McCarthy could simply dorsum out, permit the wackos receive got control, too it wouldn't actually matter.
Still, I'll remind everyone betting on McCarthy nearly what happened inward 2015. The Freedom Caucus withal has effective veto power.
Of course,
here's the betting on Ryan existence at that topographic point at year's end... *Actually, Scalise in 1 trial called himself David Duke without the baggage, too thence he has sort of ever been unwrap 2, right?
